Gucci Little Piggy

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Intended Consequences of ObamaCare

(Or, Health Insurance Won’t Pay the Rent)

Mickey Kaus and J.D Tuccille separately cover ObamaCare’s impact on workers.   Tuccille focuses on Darden Restaurants’ plan to limit the number of hours worked by employees so that they are not considered full-time workers under the health care mandate.  As has been noted, this law is expected to fall heaviest on the retail and restaurant industries.

If employees work more than 30 hours per week (seemingly on average, over the course of the entire year), employers will be forced to offer health care coverage to those employees.  As Tuccille points out:

This truly sucks if you’re a worker trying to piece together the paychecks needed to live a decent life. Now you have to scramble to pick up another part-time job, and neither will come with much in the way of benefits. OK, the feds will have some health program for you through the government-mandated exchanges, but goodbye vacation time and any other goodies that come from full-time status, such as manageable schedules.

This sucks double for Olive Garden employees (I’m not sure about the others under the Darden umbrella).  Within the last couple of years Olive Garden has changed its vacation pay policy.  Granted, the company is one of few restaurant chains that offers its employees vacation pay, but they did this as a strategy to maintain low turnover.  The company previously offered all part-time and full-time non-managerial employees vacation pay based upon the average number of hours they work through the course of the year.  At one year of service, employees received their average weekly wages.  After three years, they received twice their average weekly wages.  After five years, three weeks worth.

I was grandfathered into this system, so I’m able to work fewer than 30 hours and still receive this benefit.  My anniversary is in January and after every anniversary I tell myself that I’m going to quit before the next one, but then when July rolls around I decide to stay because my next anniversary is within sight.  So turnover has been limited in at least one instance.

I asked my girlfriend who is a manager at a retail store if her company is doing anything to cope with the mandate, and she said that for the last eight months they’ve limited hourly workers to 28.5 hours per week in order to not risk going over the threshold.  I posted on Facebook to rile up some of my co-workers on this and one told me that this is why nobody is scheduled more than five days out of the week.  I never noticed because I only ever work five days (on a good week), but many of my co-workers would work every shift they could if management would let them.  But management won’t, first because of the higher forced wages for overtime work, and now because of fears of ObamaCare fines.  So these people, who don’t really want health care but who have immediate bills to pay, would rather have the hours than the benefits, but more and more employers – or the larger ones at least – are not likely to give them the number of hours they need.  Losing a couple hours a week all the way up to ten hours a week translates into lots of lost wages, much more than will be gained by whatever health insurance coverage the worker is provided through Medicaid or forced by “penalty” or by “tax” to avoid purchasing.  Catch 22′s and bear traps all around.

In his post, Kaus provides the corrective that the most recent jobs report doesn’t show, contrary to some interpretations, that part-time work is increasing all that much.  Perhaps that’s true in this one jobs report, and maybe full-time jobs are on the upswing.  But just a priori, for the long run it’s a no-brainer that employers will, all else being equal, attempt to skirt this law by cutting workers from full-time to part-time at this particular threshold.  And it’s a pretty low threshold.

As Uwe Reinhardt and other economists have pointed out, employer-based health insurance is a sham.  It was instituted during World War II as a response to wage ceilings.  Employers couldn’t pay more cash to their workers so they offered benefits as inducements to work.  That became entrenched, and the trend has been to place “the right to health care” burden on either employers or the State.  Though, overturning that system just creates a vacuum into which the government will step.

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8 Responses to Intended Consequences of ObamaCare

  1. bob sykes 10/09/2012 at 7:41 am

    The 30-hour rule has been in place for a number of years for all sorts of benefits, and employers already limit workers’ hours to avoid paying benefits. So, Obama care changes nothing in this regard.

  2. Mike43 10/09/2012 at 8:22 am

    Just that employers have a more expensive reason to carefully monitor it; so they don’t face thousands of dollars in fines.

  3. George 10/09/2012 at 8:59 am

    Yeah ain’t it great? Nobody can be denied health insurance. Sure. Right, you can’t be denied getting health insurance premium payments. It will be the health care you will be denied. You are too old for this procedure or that operation or there’sa long line of more deserving waiting for this organ or that organ or sorry there is a 3 year wait for this operation meanwhile you can just die and help things along.

  4. HR Lincoln 10/09/2012 at 9:28 am

    And that growing segment of 28.5 hours/week employees will go down in the books as “employed”.

    Just one more way in which the official unemployment numbers are bullshit.

    Bob Sykes, you’re wrong, Obamacare does change things for part-time workers in multiple ways. It increases penalties on employers for not providing benefits for those working 30 hours or more, and, most importantly, it makes it much more likely that employers who employ a significant number of part-timers to say “fuck it” and not provide health benefits to employees period, and dump all into the “exchange” bucket. Which people are not (remember who told you) going to like.

  5. The fourth doorman of the apocalypse 10/09/2012 at 9:41 am


    The objective of current health reform efforts should not be to abolish the employment-based system to which so many Americans feel attached, brittle and expensive as that system may be. Instead, the aim should be to develop a robust, parallel system of fully portable insurance that individuals or families can purchase on their own, in a properly regulated and organized market, with public subsidies where deemed necessary. As my earlier posts to this blog sought to explain, this can be done in a variety of ways.

    Just another big-government shill.

  6. Doc 10/09/2012 at 12:36 pm

    Interesting and totally predictable – tax something and you’ll get less of it. I know that I have either fired, or split a company into two to make sure that I do not have more people than 50. It’s interesting – look at France: France has 2.4 times as many companies with 49 employees as with 50. Wanna know why???

    This is where the US is heading. I had a company with 75 people in it, and recently split it to 40 and 35 – based on who wants healthcare and who doesn’t. More than a few are covered by their spouse, or already retired, so I can pay those who “opt out” a bigger chunk of the pie. But I could just as easily do it to avoid giving anyone healthcare – now in my market sector if I want good people, I have to pay them very well – and ultimately, I don’t pay for all of this non-sense, YOU do.

    That is what you’re not hearing in all of this – YOU will be paying more due to these taxes, it’ll just be hidden so that way Obama can say, “I didn’t raise your taxes.” Ummm…. Things more than doubled in cost due to your mandates, so I can afford half as much – thus you’ve effectively taxed me at 50% of my income, no matter how you may want to sugar-coat things. Unfortunately, too many Americans are too stupid to look at the source of the increased costs…

  7. gorbachev 10/10/2012 at 12:48 am

    Most of these people thing government money grows on trees, or is coming from that rich guy down the street, so they like the idea.

    They have absolutlely no idea how actual economies work ; they understand “he has some and I wanit!” This is the sum total of the emotional (not intellectual) investment they make in arguments.

    if you haul out charts, graphs, analyses, the best you get is : ” Why would people do that (act rationally to reduce expenses), … bosses should be forced to pay no matter what.”

    Ultimately, until you hand over more or less all of your wealth and let the state redistribute it, you’re just a capitalist-roader and a counter-revolutionary and you deserve to be called the Devil.

  8. Pingback: The Obamacare Cliff « Gucci Little Piggy

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